Saturday, May 9, 2009

Chaos or Dud?

There has been alot of chatter about the dismal pattern we are seeing on the goofus model and I'm not sure what to think, but I am optimistic. Someone posted a classic example of what was happening this time last year, with the same death ridge, strong cap blabber. In fact the first and second week of May were EXACTLY the same in terms of the pattern we are seeing, the zonal flow with a small death ridge till about May 22 when the season went into Mass CHAOS. Ed Berry who I think may be one of the smartest people ever in terms of forecasting the weather, is calling for our typical pattern of troughs mainly in the C/N Plains which is great to hear. He also said that he expects a possibly active summer with troughs plowing into the Central US through August!! While everyone complains now, when September comes around and we all have our best seasons ever it will be funny to see the new thread on ST titled. "Man what an awesome year!"

Basically what I'm saying is everyone just relax, it WILL happen. Most of the greatest chase seasons we have had in recent years (2004,2005,2008) have started late.

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