The Season That Never Ends...

Everytime we think the 2009 season will end it throws a curve now showing several systems coming over the next few weeks including a fairly deep west coast trough similar to an early June type of setup but that is for another post. I am really looking at this Friday at the moment! It appears we could see a potentially active severe weather event shaping up over C Kansas. Based on today's 12z NAM a weak but sufficient shortwave coupled with 20-30knt SE 850s and 3000+ j/kg of CAPE along a very sharp stationary/warm front boundary will create very favorable conditions for supercells and possible tornadoes not mention 0-3km SRH 350+ m2/s2 and 250+ m2/s2 at 0-1km. Dews should reach the low possibly mid 70s and temps will be in the upper 80/90s north of the boundary while it will be simmering close to 100 south of the boundary. This should be enough to punch through the cap, nice area of convergence also looks to setup along the US50 corridor from Hutchinson to Emporia allowing for initiation as well. With that said my main concern is the CAP however the NAM breaks out precip from Hutch into E KS and W MO. We will have family in town so it may be hard to get away but we will try if it appears the cap will be breakable.