Today begins the first chase of 2011 for my dad and I as we are heading north to W Iowa and E Nebraska to play a potent yet slightly capped setup. I have a feeling in my gut storms will be able to initiate today and if that happens with the strong instability, deep moisture, warm front, and classic shear profiles supercells with tornadoes are a good possibility. The 6z NAM, GFS, and HRRR all break out precip near the triple point in NE Nebraska so we will likely sit just along the river possibility as far north as Sioux City depending on where the warm front ends up.
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